Publications

Friend, Not Foe? Monetary Policy and Energy Prices
In this paper, we first document a new empirical finding by showing that the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy decisions …
Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Tariff Chaos Overshadowing the Global Economy; Fiscal Package Bolstering the German Economy
Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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Vollständige europäische Bankenunion würde Finanzierungskosten senken und Investitionen ankurbeln
Pia Hüttl, Frederik Kurcz
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Quantifying the Fiscal Channel of Monetary Policy
In macroeconomic models featuring borrowing-constrained agents, the effects of monetary policy depend on the fiscal reaction to …
Frederik Kurcz
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Policy Changes Leaving Marks on the Economy
Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: German Economy Stuck in Limbo While Trade Conflicts Threaten the Global Economy
Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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Monetary policy during the energy price crisis: ECB could have contained inflation earlier
Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
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Joint Economic Forecast
DIW Berlin, ifo Institute, ifw Kiel, IWH Halle, rwi Essen
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Industry Sputtering Globally while the German Economy Stagnates
Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Global Economy Recovering Swiftly; German Economy Gaining Momentum
Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Global Economy Experiencing Robust Growth; Germany’s Recovery Is Delayed Further
Timm Bönke, Guido Baldi, Hella Engerer, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Violetta Kuzmova-Anand, Theresa Neef, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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DIW Economic Outlook: German Economy Fighting Its Way out of Winter Recession
Timm Bönke, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Hella Engerer, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Theresa Neef, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann, Jana Wittich
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DIW Economic Outlook: German Economy currently scarcely making headway
Timm Bönke, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Hella Engerer, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Theresa Neef, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann, Jana Wittich
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DIW Berlin Economic Forecast: Forecast Ranges from Cloudy to Bright
Timm Bönke, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Hella Engerer, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Theresa Neef, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
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And Yet They Move: Energy Prices Fall When Key Interest Rates Increase, Despite Countervailing Effects
Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
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Addressing inflationary risks in the face of high energy prices: what can the ECB do?
Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
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ECB Can Lower Fuel and Heating Costs by Increasing Interest Rates but Would Risk Economic Recovery
Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz
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Do words hurt more than actions? The impact of trade tensions on financial markets
We use machine learning techniques to quantify trade tensions between the United States and China. Our measure matches well-known …
Massimo Ferrari Minesso, Frederik Kurcz, Maria Sole Pagliari
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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Summer Upswing to Follow Winter Slump
Guido Baldi, Paul Berenberg-Gossler, Hella Engerer, Simon Junker, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt
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Global Economy Returning to Its Recovery Course after Summer Setbacks: DIW Economic Outlook Autumn 2021
Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Frederik Kurcz
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